In recent years, tensions between China and the United States have become increasingly intense. Last year, Pelosi's visit to Taiwan undoubtedly heated up the situation in the Taiwan Strait quickly and instantly attracted global attention. Subsequently, the Chinese People's Liberation Army conducted multiple rounds of military exercises around Taiwan to demonstrate force, and the US aircraft carrier battle group also sailed into the area to carry out so-called deterrent operations. To date, the situation between the two countries has not improved. Looking ahead to 2024, the People's Liberation Army has conducted blockade drills around Taiwan many times, and its intentions are self-evident, allowing all parties to fully understand the severity of this strategy.

At the same time, the United States has not been idle and continues to upgrade the army's equipment. New tanks, drones, and missiles specifically targeting the Pacific theater are being produced. In addition, the number of ships in the Chinese Navy has surpassed the United States in recent years, and the defense budget in 2023 has reached US$230 billion. The United States has intensively expanded military bases in East Asia, especially in Japan and the Philippines, which is obviously a manifestation of its preparations.

The Taiwan issue has always been regarded as an unstable powder keg. China's position is extremely firm and has never expressed its willingness to give up its force. In addition to constantly selling weapons to Taiwan, senior officials such as South Korea have also frequently visited. In 2024, they have sold F-16 fighter jets to Taiwan many times, with the number of them being noticeable. In the South China Sea, China continues to build on islands and reefs, while US warships frequently carry out so-called "freedom of navigation" operations. This year, two US warships almost collided, almost only a few dozen meters apart.

Looking back, Sino-US relations have been maintained for a time. After the end of the Cold War, the United States was in a single leadership position on the international stage, while China focused on economic development and the two sides cooperated closely in the field of trade. However, when China's economy rose rapidly and GDP grew from trillions in 2000 to 18 trillion today, the United States began to feel uneasy. In particular, China's "Belt and Road" initiative has attempted to build infrastructure on a global scale, which has made the United States feel dissatisfied with China's continued expansion of its influence.

During his tenure, Trump directly launched a trade war, imposed high tariffs on Chinese goods, and suppressed Huawei and other companies. The Biden administration has called for the construction of a "guardrail" for Sino-US relations on the surface, but in fact it has continued sanctions and even increased military deployment in the Asia-Pacific region. After years of gameplay, the negotiations have been poor, which has led to the situation becoming more rigid. The United States uses its allies to embargo on chips, and China has also begun to actively develop independent technologies, and the semiconductor industry is on track. It seems to be a business competition on the surface, but in fact it is hidden behind it the deep logic of strategic confrontation.

Experts call this phenomenon a "safety dilemma." When one country strengthens its military, the other country feels threatened, causing the situation to become increasingly tense. When analyzing the current situation, Rand pointed out that China's combat capability in the Western Pacific has been significantly improved. If the United States does take military action against Taiwan, the situation may not have the advantage as before. The war strategy currently discussed by the US military has changed from a quick decisive battle to a protracted war, reflecting the complexity of the situation.

War is not a good thing for either side. As the world's top two economies, if conflicts break out, the supply chain will inevitably be severely impacted, chip production stagnates, energy and food prices soar, and the stock market will collapse quickly. Ordinary people will face greater pressure on life, and the cost of living will rise sharply. In addition, the United States and its allies such as Japan and Australia may also be involved, and European countries will also face choices. However, international organizations such as the United Nations may not be able to play their due role in this situation.

Title: China and the United States are participating in a dangerous game that is unintentionally stopped, and everyone is thinking about when the fuse of the conflict will ignite

At present, relations between the two countries are tense, and both sides are on a high alert state, and the future development of the situation is still unclear. Military exercises are still in progress, with all kinds of warships and aircraft carriers being deployed normally, and weapons trading has not stopped. The ordinary people on the side were helplessly following the news, worried, but they didn't know when the situation would come to an end.