Are two wars quietly approaching China? The United States is preparing

Chen Shitou's original head

In recent years, there has been a stalemate between China and the United States. Everyone feels that the atmosphere is not right and there is always a feeling of uneasiness. There are rumors on the Internet that "two wars are quietly approaching China", and it is also said that the United States is already sharpening its knives. This sounds scary, but if you think about it carefully, there are quite a lot of reasons and signs behind it. Speaking of Sino-US relations, it was quite acceptable since the establishment of diplomatic relations in the 1970s, and then there was more cooperation than competition.

China's economy started late, but later it caught up quickly, its GDP firmly ranked second in the world, and its technology and military strength also increased. When I looked around the United States, I felt that my boss' status was shaking. Since the release of the National Security Strategy Report in 2017, China has been labeled as a "strategic competitor", which means being cautious. Since then, Biden has come to the stage to call for cooperation, but he does not make any concessions at all in key areas, especially the two parts of Taiwan and the South China Sea, which have become powder kegs.

Let’s talk about Taiwan first. Taiwan is part of China's territory, and unification is a historical trend. But the United States always likes to make trouble. When the diplomatic relations was established in 1979, it proposed a Taiwan Relations Act, saying that it would sell defensive weapons to Taiwan. In recent years, the guys who sell them have become more and more advanced, including F-16 fighter jets, anti-tank missiles, Himas rocket launchers, etc. In 2022, the US Congress passed the Taiwan Policy Law to support Taiwan in strengthening its arms. Biden has also made public statements several times, saying that if mainland China uses force, the United States will help Taiwan defend. This statement came out and the temperature in the Taiwan Strait rose sharply.

Why is Taiwan so critical? Its position in the Western Pacific is so fatal that it strangles the sea passage, whoever takes it will have more aces. China regards it as the bottom line of sovereignty, but the United States serves as a tool to restrain China. If Taiwan’s independence really reaches Taiwan, mainland China will definitely not sit idly by. It is hard to say whether the United States will be involved. In 2025, Trump's second term began, and his support for Taiwan has not decreased, and arms sales are still being pushed up. Several batches of F-16 parts and missiles were approved in June, worth over 100 million yuan. Taiwan itself also conducts the Hanguang exercise and continues to practice defense in July 2025, and soldiers use the US system to simulate counter-login. But on the Chinese side, there were many military exercises in 2024 and 2025, ships circling the island and missile test-firing, which was a warning.

Looking at the South China Sea again, there have been disputes in this place for a long time. China competes with neighbors like the Philippines and Vietnam for the ownership of islands, reefs and waters. The South China Sea is China's historical waters, but the United States insists on jumping in, shouting "freedom of navigation", and sending warships and planes to wander around. In 2023, US warships approached the Nansha Islands and reefs many times, only about a dozen nautical miles away, just to find trouble. In 2025, there was more friction, and the Philippines and the United States held side-by-side exercises. In April, a simulated landing in the South China Sea, with 17,000 soldiers participating.

The valuable parts of the South China Sea are: first, there are many oil and natural gas resources, and second, there are trade routes. Half of the world's cargo ships pass by here, and whoever controls them will hold the lifeline of the economy. The United States is strengthening its military activities here, but it doesn't want China to dominate. If a small-scale conflict occurs, it may be a confrontation or collision of ships, but when a large-scale war, no one wants to blow up resources. In March 2025, the United States and the Philippines cruised together, and in May, the platform was seized, and soldiers came down from the helicopter to check equipment. China responded with toughness, ships broadcast warnings, and warship patrols increased frequently.

There are a lot of evidence of the United States preparing for war. In the Asia-Pacific region, the United States is located in Guam, Japan, South Korea and Australia. In 2023, Guam will install THAAD missile systems and say they are preventing North Korea. Who believes it? It is obviously against China. The aircraft carrier group has been floating in the East China Sea and the South China Sea all year round, and nuclear submarines have emerged. The AUKUS Alliance will be launched in 2021 to provide Australian nuclear submarine technology, and the submarine will be launched in 2025. There are more joint military exercises, and dozens of countries participated in the Pacific Rim military exercises, and the scale will be even larger in 2025. Buy F-35 in Japan and practice login in Australia. The United States Indo-Pacific strategy has led to a four-party dialogue between Japan, India and Australia. The 2025 summit was held diligently and military cooperation was in-depth. Military expenditure, the US defense budget in 2025 exceeds US$900 billion, and the research and development of hypersonic missiles and anti-ship missiles has accelerated. These actions clearly surround China and make it impossible for China to move.

China is not idle either. The military strength has improved rapidly, three aircraft carriers have been put into service, the J-20 fighter jets are mass-produced, and the Dongfeng missile has a long range. During the 2023 East China Sea exercise, dozens of ships were dispatched. In 2025, exercises around Taiwan continued, United Sword-2024B surrounded Taiwan and fighter jets circled the island. In terms of diplomacy, the Belt and Road Initiative has been in place for many years, and the circle of friends is large. In 2023, the economy is closer and the strategy is backed by the backbone. The countermeasures and control of rare earth exports are inseparable from the US high-tech. In 2025, investment in Europe and Africa will increase, and it will be possible to rely less on the United States.

Why are two wars approaching? Because friction escalates. Taiwan, Pelosi visits Taiwan in 2022, Chinese military aircraft circulate the island. In 2025, after Lai Ching-te's speech, the Chinese Navy exercised and the fleet was arranged. In the South China Sea, ships almost crashed in 2023, and more confrontations were held in 2025. Online analysis said that the United States uses Taiwan and the South China Sea as chess pieces, and the proxy war is possible. According to the RAND report and USNI analysis, China and the United States have high risks of fighting in the first and second island chains in 2025, China has strong anti-intervention capabilities, and it is difficult for the United States to get close to it. But experts say that the possibility of a war is small because the nuclear power will be over if anyone moves. Both China and the United States have nuclear bombs, and mutual deterrence is effective, such as the United States and the Soviet Union did not fight in the Cold War. It's similar now, nuclear balance is stable.

Economically, the trade volume between China and the United States exceeded 750 billion in 2022 and was still high in 2025. China is the United States' major trading partner. The economy collapses when it fights, and globalization ties everyone together. The United Nations and the EU do not want world chaos, and Russia is also concerned about stability. There is great international pressure, and many people are persuading to fight. The small friction may continue, ships in the South China Sea confronted each other, and military aircraft in the Taiwan Strait passed by. But the overall situation is balanced and no one wants to confront each other in full.

What are the potential risks? The United States said it supports Taiwan's status but is not extremely important, but it requires Taiwan's military expenditure to increase to 10% of GDP. Taiwan’s defense officials believe that the United States will not abandon Taiwan, but the reality is complicated. In 2025, the US-Japan summit stated that it would oppose China's use of force to change the status quo, which was clarified for the first time. Japanese Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba visited the United States and promised to invest, Trump was happy. The Philippines has deep cooperation with Taiwan, and it aroused dissatisfaction in Beijing in July 2025, and there were many warship patrols.

China's National Security White Paper was released in 2025, saying that external pressure was great, the West surrounded it, and the outside world intervened in the South China Sea and the East China Sea. Taiwan's "Taiwan independence" takes risks, and overseas forces are causing trouble. China has taken the road of peace and has a defensive policy, but is determined to safeguard its rights and interests.

According to expert opinion, Zhu Feng said that the US generals claimed that war would start in 2025 and guardrails must be built. Tsinghua University reported that in 2025, the South China Sea is tense but not broken, the Philippines has a ceiling for provocation, and the United States is calm when it does not pay attention to the South China Sea.

What do the people think? This battle is really a battle, and life is hard. Economically, prices have risen, more unemployment has occurred, and less imports have been imported. Coastal security issues are big. But now I can't fight for a while. The country is prepared, everyone is at ease.

The game between China and the United States is deep, and Taiwan’s South China Sea is the focus. The United States has attracted allies, exercises and sells military exercises, China has increased its military strength, and expanded its diplomacy. Nuclear and economics make it difficult to fight, but skirmishes need to be wary of. In the future, balance will be maintained and confrontation will be avoided. In general, these two wars sound close, but there is actually a distance. Don’t panic and learn more about the truth.