Trump's words "The United States has lost India and Russia to China" knocked on Washington's forehead like a scoundrel.

It’s not alarmist, but the account book that the White House is most reluctant to admit is spread in the sun: two heavyweights who once revolved around the United States are now signing a major natural gas order with Beijing, and the other landing the Prime Minister’s plane in Shanghai Hongqiao.

The wind has changed, and even the toughest politicians have to admit that the chips on the poker table are quietly sliding towards China.

Let’s talk about Russia first.

The Biden administration used sanctions as firecrackers, and broke the Russian and European energy umbilical cord in one breath, and woke the Kremlin up: Since the West does not intend to stay a way out, it would simply open the forests, oil fields and ports in the Far East to China.

Putin flew to Beijing with almost half of the cabinet, and signed not only the natural gas pipeline, but also the "Ice Silk Road" of the Arctic Waterway.

In the past, Russia had a hand on China, but now it's better to hand over the back because Moscow can figure it out: rather than waiting for a promise to be invalidated in Washington, it's better to hold a long-term meal ticket in Beijing.

Look at India again.

Modi came to China this time not to go through the motions, but to bring the soberness of a "businessman".

The high tariffs during Trump's period and the oil price limit during Biden's period made New Delhi completely annoyed: buying Russian crude oil will be threatened, and exporting drugs will be choked. The United States shouted the word "alliance" loudly, but it always increased the price on the bill.

China is not a lie. As soon as the border talks ended, the customs immediately released the Indian blue crab, and the e-commerce platform launched Assam black tea, and even the parts of the Su-30 fighter jet were given a green channel.

Indian netizens joked on Twitter: "Doing business with the United States is like blind dates, and doing business with China is like buying vegetables. You pay money and deliver goods with the other hand, and you don't delay or owe it.

What’s even more heartbreaking is that the United States has narrowed its path.

NATO's eastward expansion forced Russia to a corner, but Ukraine became a quagmire; the Indo-Pacific economic framework was so loud that it was hard to let the market open and only let allies buy American goods.

Washington's abacus beads were plucked too loudly, and even New Delhi could hear it: This is not cooperation, but protection fees.

In contrast, Beijing does not shout slogans, but only delivers contracts: China-Russia crude oil pipeline, China-India mobile phone industry chain, and SCO's local currency settlement. Every step is to write "win-win" into the terms.

Of course, India didn't put eggs in a basket.

Modi turned around and went to the BRICS summit to talk about soybeans with Brazil, talked about vaccine technology with South Africa, and even pulled ASEAN to launch the "Indian Ocean-Pacific Cooperation Initiative".

This is not about turning to China, but about learning how to play in China - multilateral betting, whoever gives benefits will follow.

The United States used "democracy" to draw cakes, but now the cakes are not cooked, and India is hungry first.

The most embarrassing thing is in the United States.

Trump yelled to "lose", but Biden's team was still quarreling in Congress: while passing a bill to "contain China", quietly extending tariff exemptions to China.

The chip giants in Silicon Valley are so anxious that they are afraid of missing the order for China's new energy vehicle; the natural gas dealers in Texas are looking forward to not repairing the China-Russia pipeline too quickly.

Washington's fight with each other made his allies shake their heads: Will they be sold tomorrow if they are hanging with such a boss?

The IMF's forecast is more straightforward: China's GDP growth rate in 2025 is 5.8%, and the United States is 2.1%.

Numbers won't lie, just like once the natural gas valve in Siberia is unscrewed, 106 billion cubic meters will flow steadily into Chinese factories every year, while the US shale gas ships are still bargaining with Europe.

Developing countries can understand that the construction of the Belt and Road railway at their doorstep will bring ports, industrial parks and employment; what about the aid projects in the United States?

It is often accompanied by additional terms of "human rights reports" and "military bases".

After all, this game is not about the number of aircraft carriers, but who can feed your friends.

What Russia wants is energy export security, what India wants is manufacturing upgrading, and what China has handed over is orders, technology and commitment to non-interference in internal affairs.

What about the United States?

I am still using Cold War scripts to perform 21st century dramas, and I forgot that the audience has changed their tastes long ago.

Trump's words are not so much a plea to Washington as an ultimatum: when the sanctions stick smashes other people's trust, when "America First" becomes "America's own food", it is not only India and Russia that lose, but also an entire era.