Zelensky

Recently, I suddenly relaxed my tone to the British media and said

Ukraine is ready for ceasefire

, and looked longingly at Trump across the ocean, hoping that he would come forward to broker an agreement.

Have you been fighting for more than three years and you really can’t win anymore? Or is this another brilliant performance by Zelensky on the international stage? But just when everyone was wondering what kind of medicine was being sold in Kiev, an even more spine-chilling premonition came:

The next Ukraine may appear around us, and it will also be our "old neighbor".

Let’s first discuss Zelensky’s “ceasefire declaration”. Do you think he really wants peace? I don't think so.

Since the war started today, everyone knows what Ukraine is like. The number of soldiers was depleted, and most of the men were recruited to be 60-year-old men. This was simply unheard of in modern warfare. The economy has long been smashed into a sieve, relying entirely on European and American blood vessels to survive. On the front line, although the Russian army also suffered heavy losses, after all, it has a strong family background and is still advancing inch by inch in the Donbas region. The Ukrainian army has acquired a lot of advanced weapons, but the artillery shells are firing less and less, and there are fewer and fewer skilled soldiers to operate these high-tech gadgets.

Calling a ceasefire at this time, to put it bluntly, means that you can hardly hold your breath anymore and want to surface to take a breath.

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What’s even more interesting is the person he’s shouting to——

Trump

. During the campaign, this man shouted "end the war in 24 hours" every day. Now that he is back in the White House, he naturally wants to fulfill his promise quickly and gain some political capital for himself. Zelensky's ball was accurately passed to Trump's feet. What he was betting on was that Trump would have to end up being the "peacemaker" for his own sake.

But behind this, the mood of the European allies is complicated. France and Germany are eager to stop the war as soon as possible. If the war continues, their own economies will really be dragged down. But Poland and the small Baltic countries were scared to death, fearing that if there was a ceasefire today, Russian tanks would drive to their doorsteps tomorrow.

So you see, what Zelensky shouts in his voice is not the dawn of peace, but the tacit exhaustion, calculation and fear of all forces. He was using the "ceasefire" card to bet on a respite that was most beneficial to him.

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While the eyes of the world are fixed on Kiev and Moscow, Americans are not idle. They are like the most skilled poker players. The game here is not over yet, and they have already started stacking cards on another table.

This new card table is located in our South China Sea. And the one most likely to be put on the table as a "card" is the Philippines.

When you say this, some people may think it is alarmist. But if you put together what happened recently, you'll understand.

Former President Duterte is a sensible person. When he was in power, he had good relations with China and left the Americans aside. He warned more than once,

If the Philippines follows the United States, sooner or later it will become the second Ukraine and become a victim of the game between great powers.

This statement sounded a bit alarmist at the time, but looking back now, it is simply an accurate prediction.

As soon as Marcos came to power, his style suddenly changed, almost making a 180-degree turn, and he plunged into the embrace of the United States. Several new military bases have been opened to the US military, and the locations are more tricky than the last. Some are just across the Bashi Channel from Taiwan. On the issues of Ren'ai Reef and Scarborough Shoal, they are jumping up and down, making small moves constantly, and they look like a "troublemaker".

Does this script look a bit familiar?

Before the Russian-Ukrainian conflict broke out, wasn't it the same in Ukraine?

First, there was the color revolution, and the pro-American government came to power, and then it moved step by step towards NATO, jumping repeatedly across Russia's most sensitive border, and finally detonated the powder keg.

What the United States is doing in the Philippines is almost copying the Ukrainian script exactly.

By supporting a pro-American regime, it constantly provokes conflicts with neighboring countries and turns it into an "agent" to consume and contain its strategic opponents.

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To understand this big game, you have to understand the geographical value of the two places. One is Poland and the other is Syria.

Poland is sandwiched between Germany and Russia. It has been divided three times in history. Whoever becomes stronger wants to attack it first. It is a proper "European version of Xuzhou", a battleground for military strategists. so,

Why is Poland so determined to be anti-Russian now that it even wants to block the China-Europe freight trains even at the cost of offending China?

Because it is afraid that it will become the next battlefield. It supports Ukraine now because it hopes to keep the war out of the country.

Syria is the crossroads of the Middle East, connecting Asia, Europe and Africa. Behind the recent changes in Syria is the game between the “Belt and Road Initiative” and the US-led “US-Europe-Israel-India Economic Corridor”. The United States wants to drive a nail here, disrupt the entire Middle East and destroy our layout.

After understanding these two places, and then looking at the Philippines, you will suddenly become enlightened.

The Philippines' position in the South China Sea is equivalent to Poland's position in Europe and Syria's position in the Middle East. They are both chess eyes.

The United States is causing trouble here, killing three birds with one stone:

Seizing China’s maritime lifeline:

The South China Sea is an important channel for our energy and trade. If there is chaos here, it will have a fatal blow to our economy.

Undermining China-ASEAN cooperation:

ASEAN is our largest trading partner, and the United States wants to create divisions here and create discord between us and our neighbors.

To create an “Asian version of NATO”:

Through the alliance between the United States, Japan, India, Australia, and the United States and the Philippines, military forces have been deployed step by step to our doorstep, forming an encirclement.

Therefore, when Zelensky calls for a ceasefire, we must not take it lightly. Because for the United States, the Ukrainian chess piece is about to become useless, and they urgently need to open a "second battlefield" elsewhere. The Philippines is being pushed step by step into this dangerous situation.

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Faced with this kind of "dark situation", can we only passively accept it? Of course not.

What we Chinese are best at is "you hit yours, and I'll hit mine." If you mess up the chessboard, I'll start another game.

first,

Economically, we have already prepared for the worst.

If Russia is really defeated on the Ukrainian battlefield and the United States is free to deal with us with all its strength, it will be an extremely severe test.

What about energy? The natural gas pipelines between China and Russia, the oil in the Middle East, and the new energy sources we vigorously develop ourselves, walk on many legs to ensure that we are not "stuck".

What about trade? If the United States raises tariff barriers, we will deepen our cooperation with countries along the “Belt and Road” and countries in the Global South. The world is so big, you are not the only market.

Secondly,

Militarily, our preparations have not slackened for a moment.

Those "big guys" at the September 3rd military parade were not just for viewing. Our navy patrols the South China Sea on a regular basis, our air force flies around the island, and our rocket force can always make any external force that dares to interfere "think twice before acting".

Just as Defense Minister Dong Jun said in front of more than 100 countries at the Xiangshan Forum:

The People's Liberation Army is always ready to thwart any external armed intervention!

Finally, and most importantly,

We want to give a warning to those countries that may become the "next Ukraine."

Singaporean Prime Minister Lawrence Wong's recent words were very clear. He warned that the Taiwan issue is China's red line, and the United States should restrain "Taiwan independence" rather than antagonize it. The same applies to the Philippines.

If you follow the United States, you may gain some benefits in the short term, but in the long run, you will leave the fate of the entire country in the hands of others. Ukraine today is a living example. People were displaced and the country was devastated. What did they get in the end? It is nothing more than a few empty words of applause from politicians on the international stage, and a "ticket to the treaty" that can never be honored.

Therefore, when Zelensky tiredly shouted "ceasefire", what we saw was a country's overdrawn future. And when we set our sights on the South China Sea, we must remain extremely vigilant and never let the tragedy happen again to our "old neighbors."